Elon Musk predicts all new cars will be fully autonomous in ten years
我要评论The race to the first fully self-driving car might be raging on at full speed, but one of its main participants, benevolent Bond villainTesla and SpaceX CEO Elon Musk, is already looking well past the finish line into the autonomous future.
Musk — who was also on hand to announce Tesla's expansion into the United Arab Emirates, the company's first official entrance to the Middle Eastern market — told a panel at the World Government Summit in Dubai Monday that while self-driving car systems are imminent within the next few years, it might take longer for the tech to fully "disrupt" manual driving. When it does, he believes the world economy needs to be prepared to adjust to a society that no longer needs human drivers as part of the workforce. Business Insider first posted the video of Musk's remarks.
SEE ALSO:Elon Musk defends meeting with Trump: 'Does not mean I agree'"My guess is that in probably 10 years it will be very unusual for cars to be built that are not fully autonomous," he said, before touting the Tesla HW2 hardware package, which could feasibly provide full Level 5 autonomy right now.
What's holding it back is the automaker's Enhanced Autopilot software system, which will be incrementally rolled out this year via over-the-air software updates. The software needs to collect more on-road driving data before it's prepared to be used for true autonomy on a massive scale. The goal is for the system to be prepared for at least one cross-country autonomous ride by the end of this year.
"Getting in a car will be just like getting in an elevator," Musk said. "You just tell it where you want to go and it takes you there with extreme levels of safety, and that will be normal."
Even if the self-driving tech is already close at hand, Musk believes it will still take some time to have paradigm-shifting effects.
"The point at which we see full autonomy appear will not be the point at which there is massive societal upheaval," he said, "because it will take a lot of time to make enough autonomous vehicles to disrupt the economy." He guessed the full disruption won't come for another 20 years or so.
When that disruption comes, though, he's concerned about the potential negative economic impact autonomous cars could have — namely, putting those in industries currently dependent on driving-based jobs out of work. Musk stressed the importance of finding other ways to get displaced drivers working in an autonomous future, because they make up such a large percentage of the global economy.
Throughout the conversation, Musk also hit on some of his other passions and favorite talking points: AI paranoia, cyborgs, super intelligent aliens monitoring Earth as we speak, his secret tunnel and space exploration, repeating his predictions that humans will live on Mars within our lifetimes. After all, he thinks dying on Mars would be a fine way to go out.
Featured Video For You
Elon Musk's Hyperloop dream is closer to becoming a reality
TopicsSelf-Driving CarsTeslaElon Musk
相关文章
Over the course of the last month, we have been purposefully using a 4K OLED monitor in ways that wi2024-09-22
今天，股市将迎来龙年的最后一个交易日，明天开始，股市将进入长达9天的“休市”期。即将过去的龙年，股市终于翻红，上证综指全年累积上涨3.17%，但是具体过程却是一波三折。“又是一年春来到”，面对长达9天2024-09-22
汛期时车辆易涉水行车，最好购买一份涉水险自燃险 必不可少持续的高温天气，势必会增加车辆自燃的几率，一旦车辆发生自燃不仅容易损毁爱车，还有可能给车内乘员人身安全带来伤害。名山车主彭大伟曾驾驶自己在成都购2024-09-22
单幅铺设沥青路面为：青衣江大桥(俗称汉白玉大桥)与沙湾路交汇处至三雅园段靠山一侧铺设时间：昨(17)日开始，大约需3天途经车辆需绕行：雅安大桥—西康码头—青衣江大桥—滨江大道一标段三雅园单幅沥青路面铺2024-09-22
评论丨农事运动会：一场农民的盛会、新农人风采展现的盛会、城乡双向奔赴的盛会
评论丨农事运动会：一场农民的盛会、新农人风采展现的盛会、城乡双向奔赴的盛会_南方+_南方plus广东省农事运动会火了，周末两天5场农事活动，场场都成为热搜话题。青瓦村屋旁、乡土大地上，来自广东各地的城2024-09-22
戈彪刚采完藕回来8月8日，在石棉县宰羊乡三明村二组，听说村民戈彪家要出售莲藕，10余个村民便自发到戈彪家的荷塘帮忙采莲藕。不到2小时，1200多斤莲藕就装上了商贩的小货车。“我是党员，我家是党员之家，2024-09-22
最新评论